Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
Chicago Cubs · Away
Scoreless 1st 80%
Not started
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
Arizona Diamondbacks · Home
Scoreless 1st 80%
Model: Home 56% · Away 44%
Market 43% (edge 13pp)
O/U 9.0 · Model over 51% · Market 51% (edge 1pp)
Predicted Arizona Diamondbacks 4 - 5 Chicago Cubs

Scouting Sheet

Sorted by record — both starters' combined scoreless-1st rate, 1.60 — not a prediction

Chicago Cubs Starter Kevin Gausman Scoreless 1st 4/5 (80%) Last 5 ERA 4.88 WHIP 1.37 K9 8.5 Rest 6d
Arizona Diamondbacks Starter Merrill Kelly Scoreless 1st 4/5 (80%) Last 5 ERA 6.39 WHIP 1.70 K9 6.7 Rest 6d

Chicago Cubs Lineup Confirmed

1 Pete Crow-Armstrong OPS .938 (L10 1.058) 6 PA, reached 3(H2/BB1) K0 HR0 OPS1.300 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
2 Seiya Suzuki OPS .843 (L10 .829) 14 PA, reached 4(H3/BB1) K6 HR0 OPS.594
3 Michael Busch OPS .747 (L10 .773) 10 PA, reached 6(H4/BB2) K0 HR1 OPS1.850
4 Alex Bregman OPS .767 (L10 .867) 9 PA, reached 1(H0/BB1) K2 HR0 OPS.111 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
5 Ian Happ OPS .748 (L10 .762) 20 PA, reached 7(H5/BB2) K3 HR0 OPS.683
6 Nico Hoerner OPS .684 (L10 .610) 16 PA, reached 2(H2/BB0) K4 HR0 OPS.250

Arizona Diamondbacks Lineup Confirmed

1 Lars Nootbaar OPS .672 (L10 .586) 8 PA, reached 4(H3/BB1) K0 HR0 OPS1.071 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
2 Corbin Carroll OPS .842 (L10 1.283) 2 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
3 Gabriel Moreno OPS .851 (L10 .991) No BvP history
4 Geraldo Perdomo OPS .726 (L10 .653) 3 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
5 Max Kepler OPS .616 (L10 .451) 16 PA, reached 5(H4/BB1) K4 HR1 OPS.780
6 Nolan Arenado OPS .761 (L10 .925) 24 PA, reached 6(H3/BB3) K2 HR1 OPS.536

Team 1st-Inning Form

Chicago Cubs L5 [2, 0, 3, 0, 0]=5 runs · Arizona Diamondbacks L5 [0, 0, 1, 0, 0]=1 runs

Head-to-Head

05-03 Arizona Diamondbacks 0-0 Chicago Cubs · 05-02 Arizona Diamondbacks 0-0 Chicago Cubs · 05-01 Arizona Diamondbacks 0-3 Chicago Cubs

Venue
Chase Field
Start Time
Away Starter
Kevin Gausman
Home Starter
Merrill Kelly