Parker Messick
Parker Messick
Cleveland Guardians · Away
Scoreless 1st 60%
ERA 2.57 (L5 2.76)
Final
Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
Boston Red Sox · Home
Scoreless 1st 60%
ERA 3.02 (L5 3.21)
3 : 2
Model: Home 62% · Away 38%
Market avg 54% (edge 8pp)
O/U 6.72 · Model over 59% · Market 50% (edge 8pp)
Moneyline · Home 1.79 / Away 2.09 (9-book avg)
Total 6.5 · Over 1.80 / Under 2.04 (5-book avg)
Predicted Boston Red Sox 4 - 3 Cleveland Guardians

Scouting Sheet

Sorted by record — both starters' combined scoreless-1st rate, 1.20 — not a prediction

Cleveland Guardians Starter Parker Messick Scoreless 1st 3/5 (60%) ERA 2.57 (L5 2.76) Last 5 WHIP 1.09 K9 10.4 Rest 6d
Boston Red Sox Starter Payton Tolle Scoreless 1st 3/5 (60%) ERA 3.02 (L5 3.21) Last 5 WHIP 1.11 K9 12.2 Rest 9d

Cleveland Guardians Lineup Confirmed

1 Steven Kwan OPS .724 (L10 .940) No BvP history
2 José Ramírez OPS .700 (L10 .639) No BvP history
3 Chase DeLauter OPS .821 (L10 .867) No BvP history
4 Jo Adell OPS .696 (L10 .708) No BvP history
5 Nathaniel Lowe OPS .771 (L10 .624) No BvP history
6 Petey Halpin OPS .579 (L10 .654) No BvP history

Boston Red Sox Lineup Confirmed

1 Roman Anthony OPS .721 (L10 .731) 3 PA, reached 2(H2/BB0) K0 HR0 OPS1.334 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
2 Nick Sogard OPS .729 (L10 .516) 2 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K0 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
3 Mickey Gasper OPS .823 (L10 .472) No BvP history
4 Wilyer Abreu OPS .785 (L10 .626) 3 PA, reached 1(H1/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS1.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
5 Adley Rutschman OPS .723 (L10 .645) No BvP history
6 Caleb Durbin OPS .727 (L10 .990) 2 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K0 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample

Team 1st-Inning Form

Cleveland Guardians L5 [3, 0, 0, 5, 0]=8 runs · Boston Red Sox L5 [2, 0, 1, 0, 0]=3 runs

Head-to-Head

05-31 Boston Red Sox 1-0 Cleveland Guardians · 05-30 Boston Red Sox 0-1 Cleveland Guardians · 05-29 Boston Red Sox 0-4 Cleveland Guardians

Venue
Fenway Park
Start Time
Away Starter
Parker Messick
Home Starter
Payton Tolle