Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
Kansas City Royals · Away
Scoreless 1st 20%
ERA 4.99 (L5 7.30)
Final
Miguel Ullola
Miguel Ullola
Houston Astros · Home
Scoreless 1st 100%
ERA 3.38 (L5 4.50)
2 : 6
Model: Home 55% · Away 45%
Market avg 57% (edge -2pp)
O/U 8.83 · Model over 57% · Market 50% (edge 7pp)
Moneyline · Home 1.67 / Away 2.24 (6-book avg)
Total 9 · Over 1.96 / Under 1.83 (4-book avg)
Predicted Houston Astros 5 - 4 Kansas City Royals

Scouting Sheet

Sorted by record — insufficient starter sample to compute — not a prediction

Kansas City Royals Starter Seth Lugo Scoreless 1st 1/5 (20%) ERA 4.99 (L5 7.30) Last 5 WHIP 1.86 K9 6.6 Rest 6d
Houston Astros Starter Miguel Ullola Scoreless 1st 1/1 (100%) ERA 3.38 (L5 4.50) Last 5 WHIP 0.67 K9 9.0 Rest 6d

Kansas City Royals Lineup Confirmed

1 Carter Jensen OPS .772 (L10 .940) No BvP history
2 Bobby Witt Jr. OPS .803 (L10 .690) No BvP history
3 Nick Loftin OPS .692 (L10 .471) No BvP history
4 Maikel Garcia OPS .704 (L10 .787) No BvP history
5 Michael Massey OPS .759 (L10 .771) No BvP history
6 Salvador Perez OPS .651 (L10 .736) No BvP history

Houston Astros Lineup Confirmed

1 Jeremy Peña OPS .799 (L10 .810) 12 PA, reached 3(H3/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS.583
2 Yordan Alvarez OPS 1.022 (L10 .798) 12 PA, reached 5(H4/BB1) K2 HR1 OPS1.144
3 Isaac Paredes OPS .784 (L10 .823) 6 PA, reached 3(H3/BB0) K0 HR0 OPS1.167 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
4 Nick Allen OPS .709 (L10 1.067) 25 PA, reached 5(H5/BB0) K5 HR1 OPS.615
5 Yainer Diaz OPS .748 (L10 .988) 6 PA, reached 4(H3/BB1) K0 HR0 OPS1.467 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
6 Daulton Varsho OPS .641 (L10 .508) 7 PA, reached 3(H0/BB3) K1 HR0 OPS.429 ⚠️ Small BvP sample

Team 1st-Inning Form

Kansas City Royals L5 [1, 0, 0, 0, 0]=1 runs · Houston Astros L5 [0, 1, 0, 1, 0]=2 runs

Head-to-Head

09-16 Kansas City Royals 0-0 Houston Astros · 09-15 Kansas City Royals 0-1 Houston Astros · 06-14 Houston Astros 0-1 Kansas City Royals

Venue
Daikin Park
Start Time
Away Starter
Seth Lugo
Home Starter
Miguel Ullola