Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
Toronto Blue Jays · Away
Scoreless 1st 60%
ERA 4.82 (L5 6.35)
Not started
Randy Dobnak
Randy Dobnak
Kansas City Royals · Home
Scoreless 1st 80%
ERA 2.65 (L5 4.39)
Model: Home 56% · Away 44%
Market avg 48% (edge 8pp)
O/U 9.5 · Model over 44% · Market 52% (edge -8pp)
Moneyline · Home 2.00 / Away 1.84 (6-book avg)
Total 9.5 · Over 1.84 / Under 1.99 (5-book avg)
Predicted Kansas City Royals 4 - 5 Toronto Blue Jays

Scouting Sheet

Sorted by record — both starters' combined scoreless-1st rate, 1.40 — not a prediction

Toronto Blue Jays Starter Spencer Arrighetti Scoreless 1st 3/5 (60%) ERA 4.82 (L5 6.35) Last 5 WHIP 1.41 K9 8.5 Rest 5d
Kansas City Royals Starter Randy Dobnak Scoreless 1st 4/5 (80%) ERA 2.65 (L5 4.39) Last 5 WHIP 1.61 K9 8.4 Rest 5d

Toronto Blue Jays Lineup Projected · as of 09-05

1 Brett Bateman OPS .779 (L10 .841) 3 PA, reached 1(H1/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS.666 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
2 George Springer OPS .736 (L10 1.024) 3 PA, reached 1(H1/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS.666 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OPS .689 (L10 .687) 3 PA, reached 1(H1/BB0) K0 HR0 OPS.666 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
4 Alejandro Kirk OPS .750 (L10 .537) 3 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K0 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
5 Nathan Lukes OPS .712 (L10 .900) 3 PA, reached 1(H1/BB0) K1 HR1 OPS1.666 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
6 Kazuma Okamoto OPS .751 (L10 .879) 3 PA, reached 1(H0/BB1) K0 HR0 OPS.333 ⚠️ Small BvP sample

Kansas City Royals Lineup Projected · as of 09-05

1 Carter Jensen OPS .755 (L10 1.359) 6 PA, reached 4(H2/BB2) K1 HR1 OPS1.917 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
2 Bobby Witt Jr. OPS .812 (L10 .680) 8 PA, reached 4(H3/BB1) K1 HR0 OPS.929 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
3 Nick Loftin OPS .714 (L10 .670) No BvP history
4 Matthew Lugo OPS .500 (L10 .500) No BvP history
5 Vinnie Pasquantino OPS .703 (L10 .664) 4 PA, reached 2(H1/BB1) K1 HR0 OPS1.167 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
6 Michael Massey OPS .757 (L10 .887) 3 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K2 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample

Team 1st-Inning Form

Toronto Blue Jays L5 [0, 1, 0, 4, 2]=7 runs · Kansas City Royals L5 [0, 5, 0, 1, 2]=8 runs

Head-to-Head

09-05 Toronto Blue Jays 2-2 Kansas City Royals · 09-04 Toronto Blue Jays 4-1 Kansas City Royals · 08-27 Kansas City Royals 2-0 Toronto Blue Jays

Venue
Kauffman Stadium
Start Time
Away Starter
Spencer Arrighetti
Home Starter
Randy Dobnak