Javier Assad
Javier Assad
Chicago Cubs · Away
Scoreless 1st 100%
ERA 3.46 (L5 2.00)
Final
Ryan Gusto
Ryan Gusto
Miami Marlins · Home
Scoreless 1st 80%
ERA 3.86 (L5 1.99)
6 : 5
Model: Home 54% · Away 46%
Market avg 45% (edge 9pp)
O/U 8.11111111111111 · Model over 46% · Market 50% (edge -5pp)
Moneyline · Home 2.14 / Away 1.75 (9-book avg)
Total 8 · Over 1.87 / Under 1.94 (7-book avg)
Predicted Miami Marlins 4 - 5 Chicago Cubs

Scouting Sheet

Sorted by record — both starters' combined scoreless-1st rate, 1.80 — not a prediction

Chicago Cubs Starter Javier Assad Scoreless 1st 5/5 (100%) ERA 3.46 (L5 2.00) Last 5 WHIP 1.06 K9 6.5 Rest 18d
Miami Marlins Starter Ryan Gusto Scoreless 1st 4/5 (80%) ERA 3.86 (L5 1.99) Last 5 WHIP 1.28 K9 7.1 Rest 5d

Chicago Cubs Lineup Confirmed

1 Pete Crow-Armstrong OPS .945 (L10 1.129) 2 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K0 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
2 Seiya Suzuki OPS .846 (L10 .917) 2 PA, reached 1(H1/BB0) K0 HR1 OPS2.500 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
3 Michael Busch OPS .736 (L10 .619) 2 PA, reached 1(H1/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS1.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
4 Alex Bregman OPS .793 (L10 1.163) No BvP history
5 Ian Happ OPS .740 (L10 .631) 2 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
6 Nico Hoerner OPS .677 (L10 .652) 2 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K0 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample

Miami Marlins Lineup Confirmed

1 Kyle Stowers OPS .804 (L10 .970) 3 PA, reached 1(H0/BB1) K1 HR0 OPS.333 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
2 Heriberto Hernández OPS .780 (L10 .897) No BvP history
3 Griffin Conine OPS .833 (L10 .499) No BvP history
4 Otto Lopez OPS .773 (L10 .566) 3 PA, reached 0(H0/BB0) K0 HR0 OPS.000 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
5 Jakob Marsee OPS .662 (L10 .746) No BvP history
6 Agustín Ramírez OPS .650 (L10 .515) No BvP history

Team 1st-Inning Form

Chicago Cubs L5 [4, 0, 2, 0, 0]=6 runs · Miami Marlins L5 [0, 0, 2, 1, 0]=3 runs

Head-to-Head

09-04 Chicago Cubs 0-0 Miami Marlins

Venue
loanDepot park
Start Time
Away Starter
Javier Assad
Home Starter
Ryan Gusto