Shane Baz
Shane Baz
Baltimore Orioles · Away
Scoreless 1st 20%
ERA 4.11 (L5 4.45)
Not started
Elmer Rodríguez
Elmer Rodríguez
New York Yankees · Home
Scoreless 1st 60%
ERA 5.40 (L5 5.56)
Model: Home 54% · Away 46%
Market avg 55% (edge -1pp)
O/U 7.5 · Model over 58% · Market 50% (edge 8pp)
Moneyline · Home 1.76 / Away 2.14 (9-book avg)
Total 7.5 · Over 1.92 / Under 1.91 (9-book avg)
Predicted New York Yankees 5 - 4 Baltimore Orioles

Scouting Sheet

Sorted by record — both starters' combined scoreless-1st rate, 0.80 — not a prediction

Baltimore Orioles Starter Shane Baz Scoreless 1st 1/5 (20%) ERA 4.11 (L5 4.45) Last 5 WHIP 1.34 K9 6.0 Rest 6d
New York Yankees Starter Elmer Rodríguez Scoreless 1st 3/5 (60%) ERA 5.40 (L5 5.56) Last 5 WHIP 1.50 K9 7.1 Rest 27d

Baltimore Orioles Lineup Projected · as of 09-25

1 Dylan Beavers OPS .680 (L10 .461) No BvP history
2 Pete Alonso OPS .884 (L10 1.258) No BvP history
3 Gunnar Henderson OPS .715 (L10 .846) No BvP history
4 Coby Mayo OPS .759 (L10 .832) No BvP history
5 Christian Encarnacion-Strand OPS .838 (L10 1.083) No BvP history
6 Colton Cowser OPS .687 (L10 .787) No BvP history

New York Yankees Lineup Projected · as of 09-25

1 Paul Goldschmidt OPS .765 (L10 .655) 9 PA, reached 3(H2/BB1) K2 HR0 OPS.583 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
2 Ben Rice OPS .897 (L10 1.121) 11 PA, reached 1(H0/BB1) K4 HR0 OPS.182
3 Heliot Ramos OPS .716 (L10 .796) 6 PA, reached 2(H1/BB1) K2 HR0 OPS.533 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
4 Amed Rosario OPS .684 (L10 .638) No BvP history
5 George Lombard Jr. OPS .699 (L10 .898) 3 PA, reached 2(H2/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS1.334 ⚠️ Small BvP sample
6 Spencer Jones OPS .742 (L10 .472) 3 PA, reached 1(H1/BB0) K1 HR0 OPS.666 ⚠️ Small BvP sample

Team 1st-Inning Form

Baltimore Orioles L5 [1, 3, 0, 0, 0]=4 runs · New York Yankees L5 [0, 1, 0, 0, 0]=1 runs

Head-to-Head

09-25 Baltimore Orioles 0-0 New York Yankees · 09-25 Baltimore Orioles 0-0 New York Yankees · 08-20 New York Yankees 0-0 Baltimore Orioles

Venue
Yankee Stadium
Start Time
Away Starter
Shane Baz
Home Starter
Elmer Rodríguez